Behind the US extension of tariff exemptions on China, there are undercurrents of intrigue!

Behind the US extension of tariff exemptions on China, there are undercurrents of intrigue!

On the chessboard of global trade, every move is of vital importance; a slight change can affect the entire system. On May 31, 2025, the Office of the United States Trade Representative (USTR) quietly dropped a “time bomb” : it extended the exemption period of the “Section 301 tariff” for specific Chinese goods from the originally scheduled May 31 to August 31. This seemingly simple three-month extension instantly sparked heated discussions in the global trade circle.

In 2018, then US President Donald Trump brandished the “Section 301 investigation” stick, imposing high tariffs on hundreds of billions of dollars worth of Chinese goods exported to the US, and a trade war that profoundly affected the global supply chain officially broke out. Chinese goods encounter barriers, American consumers’ wallets are shrinking, and the global market is shrouded in dark clouds. Over the years, the United States has repeatedly “sit-ups” in its tariff policy – imposing tariffs forcefully and then frequently easing exemptions.

Since the end of 2023, the United States has embarked on the path of extending exemptions: the 164 items on the exclusion list extended in May 2024, along with the 14 new items added in September 2024, have been repeatedly “prolonged”. Every adjustment tugs at the nerves of the market and becomes a key weight on the trade scale.

Silicon ingots, silicon wafers and other core raw materials for photovoltaic power are prominently listed. The United States has almost failed in these key links and is short of production capacity.
China’s dominant position in the global photovoltaic equipment market is unshakable (with a share of over 70%), and it is a “necessity” for the United States to develop clean energy and achieve energy transition. If tariffs continue to be imposed, the United States’ ambition for new energy is likely to be severely lacking.

Medical protective supplies such as masks and gloves, as well as key drug raw materials such as antibiotic intermediates, have been exempted. Eighty percent of the active pharmaceutical ingredients (apis) in the United States rely on imports, with as much as 60% coming from China. If tariffs continue to exert pressure, the shortage of medicines and the soaring prices will no longer be an exaggeration, directly threatening public health security and the stability of people’s livelihood. The exemption of daily electronic products such as vacuum cleaner motors and bicycle gearboxes is also related to the daily consumption costs of ordinary families.

Industrial core components such as motor assemblies, semiconductor production equipment, and primary form polysiloxanes (basic raw materials for electronics and medical care) have been included in the exemption list. The domestic production capacity in the United States is insufficient, and Chinese products are an important source of supply. The exemption from tariffs directly injects a “stabilizer” into the relevant industrial chains in the United States, avoiding the risk of production halts caused by raw material supply disruptions and soaring costs.

This exemption order is by no means a simple economic decision; rather, it is the result of intense competition on the political stage in Washington. The Pharmaceutical Research and Manufacturers Association (PhRMA) of the United States actively lobbied, and its member companies even promised to invest over 20 billion US dollars in building domestic production lines in the United States over the next five years in exchange for a precious buffer period for tariff exemptions. The exemptions related to consumer electronics precisely match the supply chain demands of giants like Apple and Samsung, and the exchange of benefits in policy-making is faintly visible.

This move by the United States is like walking cautiously on the tightrope between strategic competition with China and domestic actual demands:
The “combination of measures” such as technological blockade and trade restrictions have continued unabated.
The rigid demand for Chinese goods from the domestic industrial sector and consumers has formed a strong pull, forcing the US government to make compromises. This delay is essentially a tactical retreat before the risk of decoupling and chain breakage.

Immediately following the Geneva talks between China and the United States in May 2025 (where both sides agreed to establish a consultation mechanism), this move by the US side can be regarded as a gesture, attempting to gain a psychological advantage in future economic and trade negotiations and use the tariff lever to prompt China to make concessions in other fields.

The exemption period has only been extended until August 31st, and future policies are full of uncertainties. The United States has not relaxed its trade restrictions on China in other fields at all. On one hand, it has extended an olive branch of exemption; on the other hand, it still holds the fist of the trade war tightly. The fundamental differences between China and the United States on structural issues such as technology transfer, intellectual property rights and industrial policies remain profound.

The United States’ extension of tariff exemptions against China is the result of complex interest calculations and domestic and international pressures. It has temporarily alleviated the urgent needs of some American industries and consumers, providing breathing space for key supply chains. However, this by no means implies the easing or end of trade frictions between China and the United States. The transience of the exemptions, the specificity of the fields, and the continuous pressure from the United States in other directions all clearly indicate that the shadow of the trade war is far from dissipating, and strategic games remain the main theme.

Will the exemption list remain or be abolished in the next three months? Will the United States seek a more stable solution or continue to brandish the tariff stick? The global market is holding its breath. This trade chchess game that affects the world economy is in the middle of the game and is in full swing. There is still a long way to go before it can be finally completed. Every move will profoundly impact the pattern of the global industrial chain and the cost of our lives.

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